Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCS: 37 · v5

Severe Weather near Sarasota

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 5 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 18 September 2026 at 21:45 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 12th strongest of the 20 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 25 March 2026. The last comparable one was on 30 August 2026.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Special Marine Warning issued September 18 at 5:19PM EDT until September 18 at 5:45PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL

Urban PEI: 269,078 within a heuristic 50 km radius; not unique people.

Nearby, since 25 March 2026

How we know

2 recorded sources include NOAA; independence is not established by this count.

Our own score for this event is 37 out of 100.

This is our versioned heuristic index, not source severity or a calibrated probability. Urban PEI does not count unique people.

Computed under scoring rules v5. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)37 / 100
Legacy data-support index0.85/1
Coordinates27.3309, -82.4368
Nearest CitySarasota (9 km)
Urban exposure index (PEI)269.1K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-09-18T21:19:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/urn%3Aoid%3A2.49.0.1.840.0.490ef1b4102ecf8134e206194ce4387827fc79c7.001.1

Physical priority index · v5. Heuristic priority, not calibrated probability, predictive accuracy or damage. The legacy data-support index combines assigned source support and field availability. Urban PEI is distance-weighted and does not count unique people; zero does not establish that nobody is present. Model cards.

Source and revision timeline

Source: noaa. Occurrence: 2026-09-18T21:19:00.000Z.

First archived: 2026-09-18T21:25:47.507Z. Material modification: not recorded.

Retained revisions are prospective; earlier versions may be unavailable. No revision entry does not prove that a record never changed.

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
70
Urban PEI term
0
Scenario weight
18
Recorded reference / batch anomaly

Technical Details

EventSpecial Marine Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyLikely
AreaDescTampa Bay waters; Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound; Coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM; Coastal waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM
HeadlineSpecial Marine Warning issued September 18 at 5:19PM EDT until September 18 at 5:45PM EDT by NWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
Expires2026-09-18T17:45:00-04:00
SenderNameNWS Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount2
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.490ef1b4102ecf8134e206194ce4387827fc79c7.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.ed7bc62db5be2340c2dacff182da47d81e0e3226.001.1"]
Iem TypeSummaryG
Iem Magnitude47
Iem UnitMPH
Iem City2 SE Solana
Iem CountyCharlotte
Iem StateFL
Iem WfoTBW
Iem RemarkASOS station KPGD Punta Gorda.
MergedSources[{"id":"iem_G_26.920_-82.000_1789765560000","source":"iem","severity":"low","severityValue":25,"timestamp":1789765560000,"latitude":26.92,"longitude":-82}]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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